The following is an unpublished blog post-style article about how vehicles in the United States are trending larger and heavier, and the resulting impacts on safety and the environment. I produced this, including both featured data visualizations, for an academic assignment in Spring 2023.
Light Trucks, Heavy Consequences
Consumers in the United States demonstrate an ever-growing affinity for utility vehicles and trucks. Remarkably, in just over three decades since 1990, light trucks have grown as a share of new car sales and leases from 33 to 78 percent.
Percent of New Car Sales and Leases by Vehicle Classification, 1990-2021

Source: United States Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics, New and Used Passenger Car and Light Truck Sales and Leases, 2022.
Note: Light trucks include minivans, vans, sports utility vehicles, and pickup trucks with a gross vehicle weight rate of up to 8,500 pounds.
One might reasonably argue that there are many tasks that require a vehicle with a large cargo and towing capacity. The reality is, however, that the majority of light truck owners perhaps do not need a vehicle with this type of functionality; a Strategic Vision New Vehicle Experience Study cited by Axios reveals that, between 2012 and 2021, an average of 87 percent of people who own Ford F-150s – the best-selling vehicle in the United States – frequently use their trucks for shopping and errands, while only 7 and 28 percent frequently use them for towing and hauling, respectively.
And not only are preferences trending towards larger vehicle types, all vehicle types are getting larger. According to the EPA, between 1990 and 2020, the average weight of all car model produced within the year increased by 22 percent, from 3,426 pounds to 4,166 pounds. During this time period, the average weight of pickup truck models grew more than any other vehicle type, increasing by 30 percent from 3,928 to 5,126 pounds.
Average Weight of New Car Models by Vehicle Type, 1990-2020

Source: United States Environmental Protection Agency, Automotive Trends Report, 2021.
Importantly, that the United States’ fleet of personal vehicles is getting bigger and heavier is not without significant and deadly consequences. Because heavier cars require more energy to get from A to B, larger vehicles tend to produce more emissions than their lighter counterparts. This holds true even for some electric vehicles – in February, the New York Times looked at data from the MIT Trancik Lab’s Carbon Counter and found that some of the largest new electric vehicles (such as the Ford F-150 Lightning, which weighs a whopping three tons) produce more lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions than smaller, gas-powered vehicles.
But big cars aren’t just bad for the climate, they’re bad for people. While drivers of large and heavy vehicles may have a lower risk of injury or death during a crash, a 2011 study found that, in car-on-car collisions, the likelihood of fatality in one vehicle increases by 47 percent for every 1,000 additional pounds that the other vehicle weighs. The consequences for vehicle crashes involving pedestrians and cyclists are similarly as clear; a 2021 analysis of vehicle size and crash outcomes found that larger vehicles were involved in only 26.1% of crashes but were responsible for 44.1% of resulting pedestrian or cyclist deaths. Another researcher found that for every 100 kg increase in the average weight of vehicles involved in crashes in a metro area, the area experiences an additional 0.03 pedestrian deaths per 100,000 residents.
Thus, as the American preference for larger cars shows no signs of faltering, and as the number of heavy electric vehicles on the road sis poised to increase, the time has come to urgently pass legislation which regulates the size of unnecessarily harmful and dangerous vehicles. The safety of our climate and our streets depend on it.
References
Bureau of Transportation Statistics (2022). New and Used Passenger Car and Light Truck Sales and Leases [Data set]. United States Department of Transportation. https://www.bts.gov/content/new-and-used-passenger-car-sales-and-leases-thousands-vehicles
Cabrera Serrenho, A., Norman, J. B., & Allwood, J. M. (2017). The impact of reducing car weight on global emissions: The future fleet in Great Britain. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 375(2095) https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0364
Chase, W., Whalen, J., & Muller, J. (2023, 23 Jan). Pickup trucks: From workhorse to joyride. Axois, https://www.axios.com/ford-pickup-trucks-history
Edwards, M., & Leonard, D. (2022). Effects of large vehicles on pedestrian and pedalcyclist injury severity. Journal of Safety Research, 82, 275-282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2022.06.005
Gorzelany, J. (2022, 9 Sep). Best selling trucks for 2022. U.S. News https://cars.usnews.com/cars-trucks/advice/best-selling-trucks
Insurance Institute for Highway Safety. (n.d.). Vehicle size and weight. Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, Highway Loss Data Institute. Retrieved 8 Apr 2023, from https://www.iihs.org/topics/vehicle-size-and-weight
MIT Trancik Lab. (2021). Cars evaluated against climate targets [Infographic]. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. https://www.carboncounter.com/#!/explore
Picker, L. (2011, Nov). Vehicle weight and automotive fatalities. The Digest, https://www.nber.org/digest/nov11/vehicle-weight-and-automotive-fatalities
Shao, E. (2023, 18 Feb). Just how good for the planet is that big electric pickup truck? New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/17/climate/electric-vehicle-emissions-truck-suv.html
Strategic Vision. New vehicle experience study. Strategic Vision. Retrieved 8 Apr 2023, from https://www.strategicvision.com/nves
Tyndall, J. (2021). Pedestrian deaths and large vehicles. Economics of Transportation, 26-27 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecotra.2021.100219
United States Environmental Protection Agency (2021). Automotive Trends Report
[Data set]. https://www.epa.gov/automotive-trends/download-automotive-trends -report